Distribution of Popular Vote Difference by State is Strongly Bimodal

The histogram of the distribution of popular vote differences by state is strongly bimodal. Obama states on the right. (Data from David Wasserman @Redistrict as of Nov 28, 2012). This suggests that

  • there are not many real ‘tipping point’ states
  • A remarkably stable baseline as starting point for future elections
  • Red states (left) and Blue states (right) are really different groups

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